Tuesday, April 26, 2011

The patterns of Ageing population









f;jk mßÉfÊoh
03.      jhia.; ck ixLHdjl m%cd úoHd;aul ,laIK rgdj yÿkd .ekSu
3.1  ck.ykfhys jhia jHQyh
3.2  mqñ;sß wkqmd;h
3.3  wdhq wfmalaIKh
3.4  hemqï wkqmd;h
3.5  tal mqoa., wdodhu yÿkd .ekSu

















f;jk mßÉfÊoh

03.     jhia.; ck ixLHdjl m%cd úoHd;aul ,laIK rgdj yÿkd .ekSu
m%cd úoHd;aul ,laIKhkaf.a yeisÍu yd ck ixhq;sfha yeisÍu w;r we;af;a iudk yd iudka;r njls' hï hï m%cd úoHd;aul ,laIKhkaf.a by<- my< hdu ck ixhq;sh fjkia ùu flfrys n,mEï we;s lrhs' WodyrKhla f,i ck.ykh ;=< idm,H;djh wvq ùu fya;=fjka Wm;a wkqmd;h my< hdu;a" urK wkqmd;h wvq ùu ;=< wdhq wfmalaIKfha by< hdula isÿ jk ;;a;ajhla ;=< ^ixl%uK ia:djr ;sìh §& ck úoHd;aul msróvfha m;=< l%ñlj yels,Su yd YS¾Ih l%ñlj mq¿,a ùfï iajNdjhla yÿkd .; yels h' fuys m%;sM,hla f,i jhia.; ck ixLHdjg w¨;ska tla jk ldKavfhys m%udKh by< hhs' fujeks ;;a;ajhla flá ld,Skj meyeÈ,sj yÿkd .ekSug wmyiq w;r È.= ld,Sk o;a; úu¾Ykhg ,la lsÍu ;=<ska yÿkd .ekSug yelsshdjla ,efí'
je,smsáh m%dfoaYSh f,alï fldÜdGdih ;=< ck.ykh jhia.;ùu ms<sn`oj wOHhkh lsÍfï § m%foaYfhys ck úoHd;aul ,laIK rgdj yÿkd .ekSu b;d jeo.;a fjhs' ck úoHd;aul idOlhka ish,a,gu m%uqL;djh ,nd §u ;rula wmyiq neúka bka f;dard .;a idOlhka lsysmhla muKla wOHhkh lsrSu isÿ lrkq ,nhs'

j.=j wxl  1   je,smsáh m%dfoaYsh f,alï fldÜGdih ;=< ck jHdma;s f;dr;=re

mqreI
ia;%S
uq¿ ck ixLHdj
ck >k;ajh (01km2) g
1990
1995
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
18915
20159
21638
21862
22122
22383
22643
19787
22409
23969
24309
24598
24888
25177
38702
42568
45607
46171
46720
47271
47820
602
662
709
718
727
735
744
   uQ,dY%h: iïm;a me;slv" 2004

by; j.=fjys oelafjk f;dr;=rej,g wkqj iuia;hla f,i je,smsáh m%dfoaYSh f,alï fldÜGdih ;=< ck jHdma;sh ms<snoj f;dr;=re úu¾IKh lsÍfï § meyeÈ,sj fmkakqï lrk ;;a;ajh f,i ck.ykfhys wLKav j¾Okh;a" mqñ;sß nfjys mr;rh l%ñlj j¾Okh jk nj;a ksÍlaIKh lsÍug yelsh'

     m%ia;drh 1                              uQ,dY%h: l;D ixialrKhls

by; ixLHd o;a; u.ska fmkakqï lrk wdldrhg miq .sh j¾I myf<dj ;=< uq¿ ck ixLHdj 24% lska j¾Okh ùula fmkakqï lrk ,o w;r" jd¾Islj tys j¾Okh 1.7% la ù we;' fuh 1990- 1995 w;r ld,h ;=<§ jd¾Islj 2.0% la o" 1995- 2000 w;r ld,h ;=< § th 1.4% la o" 2000- 2004 w;r ld,h ;=< 1.3% la o" jYfhka j¾Ok fõ.h wvq ù we;'
mqñ;sß jHQyh .;a l, tys jd¾Isl wka;rh l%ñlj mq¿,a fjñka .uka lrhs' ta wkqj 1990 j¾Ifha§ mqñ;sß wkqmd;h ia;%Ska 100 lg mqreIhska 96 la o" 2000 jk úg th 90 la o" jYfhka w.h fjkia ùulg ,la j we;'
fï wdldrhg iuia; je,smsáh m%dfoaYSh f,alï fldÜGdifha ck.ykh j¾Okh ùfï fõ.h l%ñlj wvq ùu;a"  mqñ;sß wkqmd;h fjkia ùfï iajrEmh;a yÿkd .ekSug yelsh'

3.1  ck.ykfhys jhia jHQyh

       ´kEu .ykhl jhia jHqyh wkqj tys bÈß ld,h ms<snoj wkdjels lSfï yelshdjla mj;s hs' ta wkqj hï N+f.da,Sh m%foaYhl hï ld,hla ;=< § úúO jhia ldKav wkqj Ôj;a jk ck ixLHdj ms<sn`oj wOHhkh lsÍu ;=<ska tys ld,Sk jHdma;s rgdjka fukau isÿ ùug we;s úúO m%jK;djhka o yÿkd .ekSug yelsh ^j.= wxl 09 n,kak&' úúO uÜgfï mqfrdal:k bÈßm;a lsÍug fuu yÿkd .kakd m%jK;d ;;a;ajhka b;d jeo.;a fjhs'

j.=j wxl 2: cUqrf.dv ngysr iy iynkaÿ fldlaudÿj hk .%du ks,OdÍ fldÜGdi foflys jhia jHQyh wkqj ckixLHdj - 2004
cUqrf.dv ngysr
iynkaÿ fldlaudÿj
jhia jHQyh wjq'
cUqrf.dv ngysr
iynkaÿ fldlaudÿj
01g wvq
01-04
05-09
10-14
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
08
45
65
62
84
57
39
39
17
55
61
89
81
62
63
60
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
60-64
65g jeä
44
63
52
57
37
33
117
55
57
47
40
38
37
120
tl;=j
399
488
tl;=j
403
394
uQ,dY%h: l;D úiska ilia lrk ,È

fuu ixLHd o;a; úYaf,aIKh lsÍfï § fmkS hkafka miq .sh oYl foll muK ld,hl isg ck ixLHdjg w¨;ska tl;= jk m%;sY;h l%ñlj my< f.dia we;s njhs' miq.sh wjqreÿ myf<dj ;=< cUqrf.dv ngysr .%du ks,OdÍ fldÜGdifhys ck.ykhg w¿;ska tl;= jk m%;sY;h 22.44%l w.hlska my< neiSula fmkakqï lrk w;r iynkaÿ fldlaudÿj .%du ks,OdÍ fldÜGdih ;=< th 25.17% m%udKhlska my< hdula fmkakqï lrhs' ta wkqj fuu ksheÈ foflysu idudkH my< hdu 23.8% la jk w;r iuia: je,smsáh m%dfoaYSh f,alï fldÜGdifha uÜgug wkqrEmS ù we;'


140    120    100    80     60     40     20     0             0     20     40     60     80    100    120   14
                  cUqrf.dv ngysr                      iynkaÿ fldlaudÿj
65 <
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
05-09
01-04
>  01


jhia jHQyh wkqj ck ixLHdj - 2004













m%ia;drh 2                     uQ,dY%h: l;D úiska ilia lrk ,È

fuu f;dard .;a l<dm foflys jhia.; ck ixLHdj ie<lsh hq;= uÜgulska jd¾;d fõ' ta wkqj 2004 j¾Ifha § jhi wjqreÿ 60 blau jQ ck ixLHdj uq¿ ck ixLHdfjys m%;sY;hla f,i cUqrf.dv ngysr iy iynkaÿ fldlaudÿj hk .%du ks,OdÍ fldÜGdi foflys ms<sfj<ska 18.7% la yd 17.8% la úh' kuq;a fuys ck ixLHdjg w¿;ska tl;=jk m%udKh by< .sfha kï" tkï Wm;a m%udKh idfmalaIl f,i by< .sfha kï" fuu jhia.; msßfiys idfmalaIl w.h my< w.hl mej;Sug bv m%ia:d ;sìKs'
miq.sh ld,h ;=< Wm;a wkqmd;h my< hdu flfrys m%Odk jYfhkau n,md we;af;a fi!LH fCIA;%fha we;s jQ ÈhqKqj;a iu. isÿjk urK ixLHdj my< jeàu fya;=fjka mjq, mq¨,a l< hq;= fkdùu" ldka;djka wOHdmksl ùu yd iuia: wOHdmk uÜgu by< hdu" újD; wd¾Ól m%;sm;a;sfha n,mEu" mjq,a ie,iqï fiajd mq¨,a ùu" rch Wm;a md,kh flfrys jeä m%uqL;djhla § lghq;= lsÍu" ;reK- ;reKshka /lshd fidhd úfoaY .; ùu wdÈ idOlhka h'
wjqreÿ 60 blau jQ jhia jHqyh ;=< Ôj;ajk ck ixLHdj wOHhkh lrk úg tu jhia uÜgïj, Ôj;a jk ck ixLHdfõ mq¨,a ùula yÿkd .; yelsh' ta wkqj fuys ixhq;sh foi neÆ úg fmkS hkafka tu úúO jhia uÜgï j, Ôj;a jk mqoa.,hka w;r ia;%Ska ixLHdj mqreIhskag idfmalaIj by< uÜgul mj;sk njhs' fuys § m%Odk jYfhka fi!LH fiajdfõ we;s jQ ÈhqKqj iuia; wdhq wfmalaIKh by< kexùug uQ,sl jQ w;r" ia;%Skaf.a wdhq ld,h mqreIhskag jvd È.= ùu" jhia .; ia;S%ka m%;sY;h by< kexùu flfrys n,md we;'

3.2  mqñ;sß wkqmd;h (sex ratio)
mqñ;sß wkqmd;h hkqfjka woyia jkafka ck.ykfhys ia;%Ska ishhlg isákd mqreIhska ixLHdjhs ^o is,ajd" bkaø,d,a" 2001&' ta wkqj fuu f;dard .;a ksheÈ m%foaYh ;=< mqñ;sß wkqmd;h úYd, jYfhka wvq ù we; ^j.=j wxl 10 n,kak&'

j.=j wxl 3: cUqrf.dv ngysr iy iynkaÿ fldlaudÿj hk .%du ks,OdÍ fldÜGdi foflys mqñ;sß wkqmd;h- 2004

jhia jHQyh wjqreÿ
cUqrf.dv ngysr
mqñ;sß wkqmd;h
iynkaÿ fldlaudÿj
mqñ;sß wkqmd;h
mqreI
ia;%S
mqreI
ia;%S
60-64
65g jeä
16
50
18
67
100 : 88.8
100 : 74.6
16
52
21
68
100 : 76.1
100 : 76.4
tl;=j
66
85
100 : 77.6
68
89
100 : 76.4
uQ,dY%h( l;D úiska ilia lrk ,È

fuu .%du ks,OdÍ fldÜGdi foflysu mqñ;sß wkqmd;h iuia;hla f,i .;a l< my< uÜgul mj;S' jhia.; uq¿ ck ixLHdj ;=< fuu w.h 77% la jk w;r" jhi wjqreÿ 60-64 w;r mrdifhys § cUqrf.dv ngysr fldÜGdih ;=< fuu wkqmd;h 100: 89 fmkajqj o" iynkaÿ fldlaudÿjys § th 100: 76 w.hla orhs' jhi wjqreÿ 64 by< uÜgfï § fuu wkqmd;h fldÜGdi foflysu 100:75 la fjhs' ta wkqj iuia;hla f,i jhi wjqreÿ 65 g jeä ck.ykh ;=< fuu mqñ;sß wkqmd;h úYd, f,i wvq ù we;s nj fuu j.=j mÍlaId lsÍfuka fmkS hhs' fuf,i jhia.;jQjka w;r úYd, mr;rla mqñ;sß wkqmd;fhys we;s ùu flfrys n,mdk ,o m%Odk fya;= idOlh ù we;af;a tla tla jhia jHqyhka ;=< mqreI mlaIh wNsnjd hk wdhq wfmalaIKhla ia;%S mlaIh ysñlr .ekSu hs'

3.3  wdhq wfmalaIKh (Life Expectancy)
jhia.; ck ixLHdj ;=< ia;%S ck ixLHdj mqreI ck ixLHdjg idfmalaIj by< hdu flfrys n,mdk ,o m%Odk;u idOlh ù we;af;a tu iEu jhia uÜgul§u Ôj;ajk ia;%Skaf.a wdhq wfmalaIKh mqreIhskaf.a wdhq wfmalaIKhg jvd idfmalaIj by< uÜgul mej;Su hs' miq .sh ld, mßÉfÊoh ;=< wdhq wfmalaIKfha yeisÍï rgdj fuhg bjy,a ù we;s whqre my; j.=fjys oelafjhs ^j.= wxl 11 n,kak&'

j.=j wxl 4: cUqrf.dv ngysr iy iynkaÿ fldlaudÿj hk .%du ks,OdÍ fldÜGdi foflys wdhq wfmalaIKh 1981-2001 olajd

wdhq wfmalaIKh
mqreI
ia;%S
1981
1985
1991
1996
2001
63.7
64.2
66.9
69.5
70.7
66.1
67.1
70.6
74.2
75.4
      uQ,dY%h: iïm;a me;slv 2004" l;D ixialrK iys;j

.;jQ oYl foll ld,h ;=< wdhq wfmalaIKfha meyeÈ,s j¾Okhla yÿkd .ekSug yelsù we;' ta wkqj 1981 j¾Ihg idfmalaIj 2001 j¾Ih jk úg mqreIh wdhq wfmalaIKh 11%la yd ia;%S wdhq wfmalaIKh 14%la jYfhka by< f.dia we;' fi!LH fiajdfõ we;s jQ m%udKd;aul yd .=Kd;aul j¾ê; ;;a;ajhka fukau wOHdmksl wxYfha yd fmdaIK ;;a;ajhkaf.a we;s jQ ÈhqKq ;;a;ajhka fuys § jeo.;a ù we;'

       m%ia;drh 3:   uQ,dY%h: iïm;a me;slv 2004" l;D ixialrK iys;j

3.4  hemqï wkqmd;h (Dependency Ratio)
hefmkakka Y%u n,ldfha m%;sY;hla f,i oelaùu tkï jhi wjqreÿ 14g wvq iy 64 jeä hk fomsßiu Y%u n,ldfha m%;sY;hla f,i oelaùu hemqï wkqmd;h f,i  woyia lrk w;r fuh uq¿ hemqï wkqmd;h jYfhka o olajhs' fuu uq¿ hemqï wkqmd;h ;=< jhi wjqreÿ 14 g wvq msßi <ud hefmkakka f,i o" jhi wjqreÿ 64g by< ck ixLHdj jhia.; hefmkakka  jYfhka o fldgia folls'

j.=j wxl 5 ' cUqrf.dv ngysr iy iynkaÿ fldlaudÿj hk .%du ks,OdÍ fldÜGdi foflys hemqï wkqmd;hka - 2004
.%du ks,OdÍ fldÜGdih
uq¿ ck ixLHj

Y%u n,ldh
<ud hefmkakka
jhia.; hefmkakak
<ud hemqï wkqmd;h
jhia.; hemqï wkqmd;h
uq¿ hemqï wkqmd;h
cUqrf.dv ngysr
802
472
180
150
38.1
31.8
69.9
iynkaÿ fldlaudÿj
882
503
222
157
44.1
31.2
75.3
uQ,dY%h: l;D úiska ilia lrk ,È
2004 j¾Ih ;=< cUqrf.dv ngysr iy iynkaÿ fldlaudÿj hk .%du ks,OdrS fldÜGdi fol ;+< <ud hemqï wkqmd;h ms<sfj<ska 38.1%la iy 44.1%la jQ w;r" jhia.; hemqï m%;sY;h ms<sfj<ska 31.8%la iy 31.2%la úh' fuys uq¿ hemqï wkqmd;h ms<sfj<ska 69.9%la iy 75.3%la úh' iuia;hla f,i by< ck ixLHdjla we;s iynkaÿ fldÜGdih ;=< uq¿ hemqï wkqmd;h by< w.hla f.k we;' ta wkqj fuu l<dm ;=< Y%u n,ldfha 100lg 73 fofkla fmdaIKh lsÍug isÿj we;'
1990 yd 1995 hk j¾I ;=< hemqï wkqmd; fjkialï yÿkd .;a l, 1990 j¾Ifha § cUqrf.dv ngysr yd iynkaÿ fldlaudÿj hk fldÜGdi foflys ms<sfj<ska <ud hemqï 42.3%la yd 46.5%la jYfhka o" 1995 § th ms<sfj<ska 40.1.%la yd 45.9%la úh[1]'
  m%ia;drh 4                              uQ,dY%h: l;D úiska ilia lrk ,È

fuf,iskau jhia.; hemqï wkqmd;h ms<sn`oj wjOdkh fhduq lrk l, 1990 j¾Ih ;=< cUqrf.dv ngysr yd iynkaÿ fldlaudÿj hk fldÜGdi foflys jhia.; hemqï ms<sfj<ska 28.1%la yd 29.3%la jYfhka o" 1995 § th fldÜGdi foflysu 29.8%la o úh' ta wkqj iuia;hla f,i ;jÿrg;a jhia.;ùfï o¾Ylh[2] my< uÜgul mj;ajd .ekSug yelshdj Wodù we;' fuys § fmkS hk jeo.;a isÿ ùula f,i l%ñlj <ud ck ixLHdj my< hdu;a" jhia.; ck ixLHdj by<g u;= ùu;a yÿkd .; yel'

3.5  wdodhï jHdma;sh
       ck úoHd;aul ,laIK yÿkd .ekSfï § tal mqoa., wdodhï jHdma;sh yÿkd .ekSu jeo.;a fjhs' f;dard .kakd ,o ksheÈ m%foaYh ;=< wdodhï jHdma;sh isÿj we;s wdldrh my; oelafjhs ^j.= wxl 12 n,kak&'

j.=j wxl  6  jhia.;jQjkaf.a wdodhï jHdma;shcUqrf.dv ngysr iy iynkaÿ fldlaudÿj-2006

ck ixLHdj
m%;sY;h
1000 g wvq
1000-2000
2000-3000
3000-4000
4000-5000
5000 g jeä
05
16
08
04
02
02
13.5
43.2
21.6
10.8
05.4
05.4
tl;=j
37
100.0
       uQ,dY%h: ksheÈ iólaIK o;a; 2006

fuu j.=j wOHhkh lsÍfïoS fmkS hkqfha m%foaYfha jhia.;jQjka w;r wdodhï fn§ hdfï § wl%uj;a njla" úIu;djhla ygf.k we;s njhs'
         m%ia;drh wxl 05                 uQ,dY%h: ksheÈ iólaIK o;a; 2006

ta wkqj jhia.; uq¿ ck.ykfhka 57%l wdodhï uÜgu re' 2000'00g jvd my< w.hla f.k we;s w;r by<u wdodhï uÜgu jQ re' 5000'00 wdodhï uÜgu ysñjkqfha jhia.; ck ixLHdfjka 05%lg muKs' iuia;hla f,i m%foaYfha tal mqoa., wdodhu re' 1000'00;a re' 2000'00;a w;r uÜgul mej;=ks'

















[1] iïm;a me;slv-je,smsáh m%dfoaYSh f,alï fldÜGdih"2005
[2] jhia.; ixLHdj <ud ck .ykfhys m%;sY;hla f,i oelaùuhs                                   

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